Analisis Rantai Pasok Pangan Terhadap Stabilitas Harga dan Pengaruhnya Kepada Kesejahteraan Masyarakat Kota Medan

Authors

  • Rulianda Purnomo Wibowo Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Sumatera Utara
  • Benny Iskandar Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Kota Medan
  • R. B. Moh. Ibrahim Fatoni Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Sumatera Utara
  • Dian Pebriyani Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Sumatera Utara
  • Indra Gunawan Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Kota Medan
  • Wiwit Suryani Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Kota Medan
  • Paska Purnamasari Badan Riset dan Inovasi Daerah Kota Medan
  • Adli Nadhif Syaifullah Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Sumatera Utara

Keywords:

Stabilitas harga, Price spread, Disparitas harga spasial, Rantai pasok

Abstract

Stabilitas harga pangan merupakan faktor penting yang memengaruhi ketahanan pangan dan kesejahteraan masyarakat. Kota Medan sebagai pusat konsumsi dan perdagangan di Sumatera Utara menghadapi dinamika harga pangan yang berfluktuasi akibat perbedaan struktur distribusi, gangguan pasokan, serta panjangnya rantai pasok. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis stabilitas harga pangan di Kota Medan serta dampaknya terhadap kesejahteraan masyarakat. Ruang lingkup penelitian mencakup komoditas pangan utama yang diperdagangkan di 21 pasar tradisional Kota Medan, yaitu beras, bawang merah, bawang putih, cabai merah, daging ayam ras, dan telur ayam ras. Stabilitas harga dianalisis menggunakan pendekatan perbedaan harga spasial (price spread), yaitu selisih antara harga tertinggi dan terendah pada hari yang sama antar pasar. Data yang digunakan berupa data harga harian periode Januari 2013 hingga September 2025. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa komoditas beras, daging ayam ras, dan telur ayam ras memiliki disparitas harga yang relatif terkendali, sementara komoditas hortikultura seperti cabai merah, bawang merah, dan bawang putih menunjukkan spread harga yang lebih tinggi akibat kerentanan pasokan dan kompleksitas distribusi. Temuan ini menunjukkan bahwa efisiensi rantai pasok dan koordinasi distribusi menjadi faktor penting dalam menjaga stabilitas harga pangan dan kesejahteraan masyarakat.

References

Andriyati, A., Rohaeti, E., & Rizal, M. E. (2025). Regional Clustering of Chili Prices in Indonesia Using Six Clustering Methods and VARD Modeling. Paper Presented at the 6th Asia Pacific Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management Bali, 7-10 Decem, 898–909. https://doi.org/10.46254/AP06.20250192

Aulia, W. D., & Yuliana, R. (2024). Patterns, Determinants, and Elasticity of Household Food Consumption in Indonesia (Period 2021-2022). Jurnal Aplikasi Statistika & Komputasi Statistik, 16(2 SE-Articles), 87–100. https://doi.org/10.34123/jurnalasks.v16i2.652

Bathan, B. M., Daloonpate, A., & Mahathanseth, I. (2025). The Dynamics of Price Transmission in The Philippine Rice Supply Chain. J. ISSAAS, 31(1), 63–82.

Bhinadi, A., Lestari, B., & Simatupang, Y. (2025). Analysis of Price Volatility and Downstream Strategy for Shallot Price Stability in Java Island. International Journal of Accounting & Finance in Asia Pasific (IJAFAP), 8(1), 34–53. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.32535/ijafap.v8i1.3659

Doni, C., & Alima, S. (2024). Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengarui Fluktuasi Harga Cabai Rawit Di Pasar Keputran Surabaya Analysis. AGRIWITAS, 3(1), 1–13. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.38156/agriwitas.v1i1.62

Fadhilah, N., & Irhammudin. (2025). Reconstructing the Right to Food as a Constitutional Right in Indonesia : Fulfilling Social Justice and Sustainable Food Security. International Journal of Human Research and Social Science Studies, 02(11), 852–858. https://doi.org/10.55677/ijhrsss/12-2025-Vol02I11

Fahruddin, Y. I., Kurniawan, R., & Wijaya, Y. A. (2024). Penerapan Algoritma Regresi Linear Pada Data Harga Cabai Rawit di Pasar Indihiang. JATI (Jurnal Mahasiswa Teknik Informatika), 8(2), 1614–1620. https://doi.org/DOI: https://doi.org/10.36040/jati.v8i2.9053

Faiz Ahmad Sibuea, Mhd.Buhari Sibuea, & Fitriani, F. (2024). Analisys of Shallot Price Transmission in North Sumatera. International Journal of Economics, Business and Innovation Research, 4(01 SE-Articles), 624–646. https://doi.org/10.63922/ijebir.v4i01.1452

Ginting, N. M., Lubis, A. R., & Zendrato, M. (2023). Analisis Volatilitas , Integrasi Pasar Dan Transmisi Harga Cabai Merah Di Provinsi Sumatera Utara , Indonesia Analysis Of Volatility , Market Integration And Transmission Of Red Chili Prices In North Sumatra Province , Indonesia. Agro Bali : Agricultural Journal, 6(3), 827–839. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.37637/ab.v6i3.1519

Herliana, S., Ratnaningtyas, S., Aina, Q., Zuraida, U., Sutardi, A., & Qorina, S. (2025). Supply and Demand of Rice in Indonesia : A Critical Review. Journal of the Community Development in Asia, 8(1), 80–96. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.32535/jcda.v8i1.3665

Jahan, R., Chad, N. A., Hossain, J., & Kamal, S. A. (2024). The Marketing Margin and Profit Structure of Nine Commercially Important Marine Fish Species in the Southeast Coastal Areas of Bangladesh. Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development, 74(4), 389–401. https://doi.org/10.17306/J.JARD.2024.00001

Kharisma, B., & Indrawan, Z. M. S. (2023). Analysis of rice price transmission in West Java, Indonesia. Cogent Food & Agriculture, 9(2), 2266198. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311932.2023.2266198

Kuijpers, R., Smits, E., Steijn, C., Mulumba, N., Asindu, M., Kruijssen, F., & Kikulwe, E. M. (2023). Prices, profit margins and intermediary market power: evidence from the matooke value chain in Uganda. Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies, 14(4), 694–711. https://doi.org/10.1108/JADEE-06-2022-0105

Lambert, L. H., Schoeneman, J. P., Lambert, D. M., & Brienen, M. W. (2025). Road networks and food price volatility. Global Food Security, 47, 100884. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2025.100884

Latifah, P. A., Michelle, M., Pratiwi, R. S., & Setiawan, F. R. (2024). Analisis Dampak Monopsoni Bulog terhadap Pencapaian Target Operasi dan Pemasaran Beras Bulog Tahun 2020-2023 Putri. JoSES: Journal of Sharia Economics Scholar, 2(3), 17–25. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14199910 Analisis

Matondang, M. R., & Krisnamurthi, B. (2024). Price Fluctuations And Volatility Of National Strategic Food. Agrisocionomics: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Dan Kebijakan Pertanian, 8(March), 134–146. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.14710/agrisocionomics.v8i1.17753

Mila, F. A., Nahar, A., Hossain, M. E., & Amin, M. R. (2023). Spatial price transmission in the onion markets of Bangladesh: An application of NARDL approach. PLOS ONE, 18(4), e0284555.

Mrabet, Z., Alsamara, M., Mimouni, K., & Awwad, A. (2025). Do supply chain pressures affect consumer prices in major economies? New evidence from time-varying causality analysis. Economic Modelling, 142, 106914. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106914

Muflikh, Y. N., Smith, C., Brown, C., & Aziz, A. A. (2021). Analysing price volatility in agricultural value chains using systems thinking: A case study of the Indonesian chilli value chain. Agricultural Systems, 192, 103179. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2021.103179

Muflikh, Y. N., Smith, C., Brown, C., Kusnadi, N., Kiloes, A. M., & Aziz, A. A. (2024). Integrating system dynamics to value chain analysis to address price volatility in the Indonesian chilli value chain. Food Policy, 128, 102713. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102713

Mujihartono, S., Hwang, H. S., & Shin, D. H. (2023). Analyzing Factors and Developing Strategies for Rice Price Stabilization Policy in Indonesia. Journal of International Development Cooperation, 18(2), 3–27. https://doi.org/10.34225/jidc.2023.18.2.3

Pranata, I. G., & Sunaryanti, D. P. (2025). Mitigasi Risiko Volatilitas Harga Bawang Merah di Jawa Timur. JIA (Jurnal Ilmiah Agribisnis) : Jurnal Agribisnis Dan Ilmu Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, 10(1 SE-Articles), 50–59. https://doi.org/10.37149/jia.v10i1.1776

Rauf, S. (2025). Status of various sources of edible oil and prospects of oil palm cultivation in Pakistan. OCL - Oilseeds and Fats, Crops and Lipids, 32(30).

Ruspayandi, T., Bantacut, T., Arifin, B., & Fahmi, I. (2022). Market-Approach-Based Policy to Achieve Rice Price Stability in Indonesia—Can It Be a Complement? In Economies (Vol. 10, Issue 12, p. 296). https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10120296

Sembiring, Y. M. B., Rahmanta, & Iskandarini. (2024). Analisis Transmisi Harga Bawang Merah Di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Jurnal Agrica, 17(1).

Siswadi, B., Asnah, & Dyanasari. (2020). Integrasi Pasar dan Transmisi Harga dalam Pasar Pertanian (1st ed.). Deepublish. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3549160

Trisulo, T., Gomes, L., & Wisetsri, W. (2025). Dynamics of Rice Prices in Indonesia: The Impact of Agricultural Regulations on Rice Quality. Buletin Ilmiah IMPAS, 26(1 SE-Articles). https://doi.org/10.35508/impas.v26i1.21160

von Cramon-Taubadel, S., & Goodwin, B. K. (2021). Price Transmission in Agricultural Markets. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 13(1), 65–84.

Wahyuni, I. (2024). Supply Chain Performance of Red Chili : From Farm to Market in Jambi , Indonesia. The Journal of Academic Science Journal, 1(8), 1154–1161. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.59613/rf49xj63

Widarso, M. R., & Djamaluddin, S. (2024). Analisis Harga Pangan Pokok Terhadap Ketahanan Pangan Di Indonesia. SEPA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Dan Agribisnis, 21(2), 256–272. https://doi.org/https://dx.doi. org/10.20961/sepa.v21i2.83821

Wyk, R. B. van, & Dlamini, C. S. (2018). The impact of food prices on the welfare of households in South Africa. South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, 21(1), 1–9. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.4102/sajems.v21i1.1979

Zahra, N. A., Sulistianingsih, I., Paembonan, M. Ben, Rois, F. F., & Sumual, A. K. (2025). Kenaikan Harga Cabai di Pasar Tradisional Akibat Inflasi. SIGARUDA JOURNAL: Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Sosial, Ekonomi, Budaya, Teknologi Dan Pendidikan, 1(2), 320–328

Downloads

Published

2026-06-29